| Class |
Date |
Topic |
Reading |
Assignment |
| 1 |
Jan 12 |
Introduction Example1,
Example 2 |
1.1-1.5 |
Get
Adobe® Acrobat® Reader™ |
| 2 |
Jan 14 |
Review of Probability |
Handout, 2.1-2.3,
2.7-2.9 |
|
| |
Jan 17 |
MLK - Human Rights Day |
|
|
| 3 |
Jan 19 |
Probability
Distributions
|
Handout |
2.5, 7, 9, 10 |
| 4 |
Jan 21 |
Extreme
Value Distributions; Mathcad Example
(PDF) |
2.4 |
|
| 5 |
Jan 24 |
Asympotitic
Distributions; Gumbel's Classifications; |
2.5-2.6 |
Homework #2 |
| 6 |
Jan 26 |
Order
Statistics;
Order Stat
Ex, (PDF)
Spreadsheet
|
2.10 |
|
| 7 |
Jan 28 |
Bayes' Theorem,
Bayes' Theorem Example, (PDF) |
3.1-3.5 |
|
| 8 |
Jan 31 |
Transformation
of Variables; Mathcad Example
(PDF) |
5.1-5.2 |
|
| 9 |
Feb 2 |
The
Reliability Problem |
5.3 |
Homework #3
|
| 10 |
Feb 4 |
Second
Moment Formulations
|
5.3 |
|
| 11 |
Feb 7 |
Linear Limit States,
Example (PDF) |
5.3 |
|
| 12 |
Feb 9 |
Invariant Formulations |
5.4 |
Text 3.6 and
Homework #4 |
| 13 |
Feb 11 |
Nonlinear Limit States
(PDF) |
5.4 |
|
| 14 |
Feb
14 |
Transformation
Methods |
5.4 |
|
| 15 |
Feb 16 |
Examples
(PDF), Example
2 (PDF) |
5.4 |
Text 5.1 and
Homework #5 |
| 16 |
Feb 18 |
Determination
of the Safety Index |
4.1.1-4.1.3 |
|
|
Feb 21 |
President's Day |
|
|
| 17 |
Feb 23 |
Monte Carlo Simulation |
4.1.4-4.1.6 |
Text 5.4 and
Homework #6 |
| 18 |
Feb 25 |
EXAM
#1 (Old Exam) |
|
|
| 19 |
Feb 28 |
Examples: Mathcad,
(PDF), FOSM
comparison (PDF) |
4.1.7-4.1.8 |
|
| 20 |
Mar 2 |
Importance
Sampling; Example (PDF) |
|
4.1, 12 |
| 21 |
Mar 4 |
Latin
Hypercube Sampling, |
4.2 |
Project
Assignment |
| 22 |
Mar 7 |
Latin
Hypercube Example (PDF)
|
|
|
| 23 |
Mar 9 |
Antithetic
Sampling; Antithetic Sampling Example
(PDF) Comparison |
|
|
| 24 |
Mar 11 |
Correlated
Random Variables, Example,
(PDF) |
|
Homework #9
by Monte Carlo & Latin Hypercube |
| Mar |
14-18 |
Spring Recess |
|
|
| 25 |
Mar 21 |
System
Reliability |
9.1-9.2 |
|
| 26 |
Mar 23 |
Series
System Probability Bounds |
9.3.1-9.3.2 |
|
| 27 |
Mar 25 |
Ditlevsen
Bounds,
Example (PDF) |
9.4 |
|
| 28 |
Mar 28 |
Parallel
Systems |
9.5 |
Project Proposal |
| 29 |
Mar 30 |
Probability
Evaluation |
9.6 |
9.1 |
| 30 |
Apr 1 |
Approximate
Methods, Spreadsheet |
|
|
| 31 |
Apr 4 |
Event Trees |
|
Homework #11 |
| 32 |
Apr 6 |
Exam #2 (Old
Exam) |
|
|
| 33 |
Apr 8 |
Codes and Structural
Reliability,
Example
(PDF) |
8.1-8.4 |
|
| 34 |
Apr 11 |
Code
Calibration |
8.5-8.6 |
|
| 35 |
Apr 13 |
Modeling of
Uncertainty |
10.1-10.2 |
8.2,
3 |
| 36 |
Apr 15 |
Quantification
of Uncertainty |
10.3-10.5 |
|
| 37 |
Apr 18 |
Distributions |
10.6 |
Project Progress Report |
| 38 |
Apr 20 |
Human Error |
|
|
| 39 |
Apr 22 |
Time
Dependent Reliability |
|
|
| 40 |
Apr 25 |
Discrete
Processes |
|
|
| 41 |
Apr 27 |
Discrete
Process Examples |
|
Homework #13 |
| 42 |
Apr 29 |
EXAM
#3 |
Old Exam, Excel
Sol'n |
|
| 43 |
May 2 |
Fatigue,
Example,
(PDF) |
|
|
| 44 |
May 4 |
|
|
|
| 45 |
May 6 |
Presentations |
|
|
| 46 |
May 13 |
10: 00 A.M. - Presentations |
|
|
9.3.3-9.3.4
Homework is due on the dates shown.